Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.550855 3.956172 4.396234 4.910704 5.497154 6.146549 6.922448
2025-04-06 2.929187 3.463235 4.084934 4.866615 5.829436 6.984610 8.487527
2025-04-13 2.433263 2.999750 3.692703 4.611112 5.808883 7.335327 9.455828
2025-04-20 2.184564 2.787859 3.556906 4.622543 6.082100 8.042502 10.928849
2025-04-27 2.024803 2.662333 3.504688 4.718544 6.455351 8.901649 12.701100
2025-05-04 1.894262 2.556819 3.460373 4.808710 6.815470 9.767367 14.584994
2025-05-11 1.773424 2.449811 3.398509 4.859278 7.112420 10.561269 16.455309
2025-05-18 1.665996 2.350077 3.334344 4.893988 7.380357 11.330295 18.381443
2025-05-25 1.526316 2.190671 3.167026 4.751760 7.349538 11.609323 19.504994
2025-06-01 1.425435 2.080443 3.063062 4.695854 7.446884 12.102182 21.062967
2025-06-08 1.341488 1.989139 2.979833 4.663325 7.575563 12.656237 22.804231
2025-06-15 1.311768 1.979135 3.022131 4.839070 8.076150 13.921071 26.098405
2025-06-22 1.241741 1.901920 2.953142 4.824722 8.247084 14.618816 28.408114
2025-06-29 1.172285 1.820916 2.871942 4.781878 8.361516 15.223854 30.629735
2025-07-06 1.071203 1.681390 2.683102 4.531619 8.061222 14.979822 30.955515
2025-07-13 1.025173 1.630603 2.641113 4.542831 8.261873 15.764577 33.737640
2025-07-20 0.996641 1.607301 2.644386 4.636895 8.633532 16.948075 37.673070
2025-07-27 0.969116 1.583730 2.645055 4.725233 9.001768 18.170757 41.942981
2025-08-03 0.937610 1.551058 2.626812 4.774773 9.293676 19.261751 46.094585
2025-08-10 0.906049 1.516248 2.602050 4.808777 9.555137 20.316641 50.367302
2025-08-17 0.853092 1.439911 2.495519 4.669439 9.423578 20.429048 52.033135
2025-08-24 0.815075 1.388674 2.432842 4.614665 9.474396 20.986860 55.099079
2025-08-31 0.782499 1.345676 2.383135 4.582793 9.573772 21.677453 58.711651